L’École des cotes

Abilene Christian Wildcats v Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 74.70%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -9.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.65%74.60%74.80%75.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.281.281.3081.30%78.35%78.13%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.10%25.40%25.20%27.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.754.0029.41%26.91%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.21%E +0.303%K +0.404%G +0.005%3.7%2026-02-21 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.201%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:35
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.201%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:35
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.053%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.57%E -0.404%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 19:15
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 20:31
Caesars1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:35
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -2.84%E -0.739%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:35
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:50
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55
888sport1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:50
888sport (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:50
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:34
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:55
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:55
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:48
TAB1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:35
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:49
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -12.20%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:50
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.97%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:45
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.97%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.32I 75.76%NM 75.74%4.12I 24.27%NM 24.26%0.0%2026-02-21 19:50
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-21 20:15
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-21 20:35
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.38%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.62%2.0%2026-02-21 18:50
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-02-21 20:30