Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats v S.E. Melbourne Phoenix

2026-09-19 11:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd

EV +2.93%

Edge +1.46%

Kelly +2.93%

Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.37%51.46%51.46%51.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.881.862.0055.56%53.30%53.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd

EV -4.38%

Edge -2.23%

Kelly -4.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.29%48.54%48.54%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.901.911.9755.56%52.77%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Perth Wildcats (Local): 51.46%; S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (Visit): 48.54%. For Perth Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.93%E +1.46%K +2.93%G +0.086%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.64%E -7.02%K -15.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-15 06:34
Neds🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.93%E +1.46%K +2.93%G +0.086%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.64%E -7.02%K -15.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-15 06:35
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 06:35
PlayUp🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 14:10
Bet Right🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -4.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-15 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 06:34
SportsBet🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.31%E -2.88%K -6.32%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.38%E -2.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.84%E -3.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 06:35
Betsson🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.81%E -3.55%K -7.40%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-15 06:34
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-15 06:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-15 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-15 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-15 06:35