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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Perth Wildcats v S.E. Melbourne Phoenix

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 11:36 UTC

最终结果： Perth Wildcats 79–100 S.E. Melbourne Phoenix

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Perth Wildcats (主队)

预测 58.48%1.71公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
57.03%58.90%57.67%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.54%62.50%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (客队)

预测 41.52%2.41公平赔率
EV +3.80%
优势 +1.52%
Kelly +2.53%
增长率 +0.096%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%41.10%42.33%42.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.312.302.5045.87%43.31%43.48%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Perth Wildcats (主队)：58.48%；S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (客队)：41.52%。 对于“S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.41。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.50，对应+3.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.53%E -6.88%K -19.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%5.4%2026-09-18 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.19%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:34
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.19%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.19%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 10:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 07:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:20
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.36%E -6.04%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.41%E -3.32%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 12:34
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -4.09%E -2.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 12:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 43.32%1.20I 83.33%NM 56.68%47.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 43.32%1.20I 83.33%NM 56.68%47.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 43.32%1.20I 83.33%NM 56.68%47.0%2026-09-18 14:30