The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oklahoma City Thunder v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 20:30 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 90–108 Brooklyn Nets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV +2.74%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.96%38.10%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.522.7042.55%39.93%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 61.95%1.61fair odd
EV -0.886%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%62.04%61.90%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.08%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 38.05%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 61.95%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.74%E +1.02%K +1.61%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -0.680%E -0.261%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -0.680%E -0.261%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.06%E -0.408%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.22%E -3.41%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.20%E -0.857%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:25
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.84%E -3.84%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 20:20
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.84%E -3.84%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 20:20
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.11%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:24
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.63%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 20:24
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.51%E -0.947%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.98%E -2.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:15
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 20:25
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.57%E -4.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.886%E -0.553%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.57%E -4.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.886%E -0.553%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-07-19 20:25
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-07-19 20:25
ProphetX◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-07-19 20:20