默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Brooklyn Nets

开赛时间: 2026-07-19 20:30 UTC

最终结果: Oklahoma City Thunder 90–108 Brooklyn Nets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oklahoma City Thunder (主队)

预测 38.05%2.63公平赔率
EV +2.74%
优势 +1.02%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.044%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.71%37.96%38.10%40.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.502.522.7042.55%39.93%39.68%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brooklyn Nets (客队)

预测 61.95%1.61公平赔率
EV -0.886%
优势 -0.553%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.49%62.04%61.90%64.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.08%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Oklahoma City Thunder (主队):38.05%;Brooklyn Nets (客队):61.95%。 对于“Oklahoma City Thunder (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.70,对应+2.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.74%E +1.02%K +1.61%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -0.680%E -0.261%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -0.680%E -0.261%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.06%E -0.408%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.22%E -3.41%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.20%E -0.857%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:25
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.84%E -3.84%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 20:20
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.84%E -3.84%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 20:20
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.11%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:24
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.74%E -1.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.36%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.63%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 20:24
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.51%E -0.947%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.98%E -2.57%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:15
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 20:25
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.57%E -4.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.886%E -0.553%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.57%E -4.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.886%E -0.553%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-07-19 20:25
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-07-19 20:25
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-07-19 20:20