Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

2026-07-18 01:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd

EV -3.95%

Edge -1.93%

Kelly -3.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%46.93%46.85%47.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.982.022.022.0551%49%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -2.10%

Kelly -4.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.74%53.07%53.15%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.771.791.801.8156%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-16 06:20
Hard Rock Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-16 08:50
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-16 08:55
FanDuel	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.36%E -2.65%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-16 06:15
SportsBet	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.36%E -2.65%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-16 06:19
theScore Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-16 06:20
ReBet	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-16 06:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%	7.6%	2026-07-16 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-16 07:20