语言:简体中文
Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Heat (主队)
预测 38.41%2.60公平赔率
EV +1.40%
优势 +0.531%
Kelly +0.855%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 2.64
博彩公司预测分布
35.29%38.10%38.61%39.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.492.462.6442.19%40.24%40.65%37.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
Detroit Pistons (客队)
预测 61.59%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -5.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.45%61.90%61.39%64.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.561.5769.44%64.81%64.10%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Heat (主队)：38.41%；Detroit Pistons (客队)：61.59%。 对于“Miami Heat (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.60。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.64，对应+1.40%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV +1.40%E +0.531%K +0.855%G +0.012% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -11.31%E -7.85%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.133%E -0.051%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.902%E -0.349%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -0.902%E -0.349%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.00%E -4.64%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.05%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.05%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.44%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.51%E -2.24%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 22:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.00%E -4.64%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.28%E -2.57%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.00%E -4.64%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -8.97%E -3.78%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.35%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |