Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 69.24%1.44fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.13%69.17%69.28%70.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.401.4275.76%72.12%71.17%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 30.76%3.25fair odd
EV +0.892%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.83%30.72%32.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.982.913.2835.09%33.54%34.36%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 69.24%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 30.76%. For Boston Celtics (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.28, producing a positive expected value of +0.892%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.53%E -4.83%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +0.892%E +0.272%K +0.391%G +0.003%4.6%2026-10-16 06:03
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.14%E -3.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.57%E -0.490%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 05:45
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -7.22%E -5.39%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -2.80%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 07:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.06%E -2.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 07:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.83%E -4.29%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.88%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 06:54
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.91%E -5.95%K -23.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 06:24
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.60%E -6.52%K -26.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 06:30
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -2.37%E -1.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -3.76%E -2.70%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -10.18%E -3.49%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 05:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -7.91%E -5.95%K -23.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 06:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-10-16 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-10-16 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-16 07:25