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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia 76ers (主队)

预测 69.16%1.45公平赔率
EV -1.80%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -4.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
67.13%69.11%69.28%70.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.391.401.4275.76%72.09%71.17%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Celtics (客队)

预测 30.84%3.24公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.357%
Kelly +0.513%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布
29.16%30.89%30.72%32.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.852.982.913.2835.09%33.57%34.36%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Philadelphia 76ers (主队)：69.16%；Boston Celtics (客队)：30.84%。 对于“Boston Celtics (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.28，由此产生+1.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.64%E -4.92%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.17%E +0.357%K +0.513%G +0.006%4.6%2026-10-16 06:03
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.26%E -3.84%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.30%E -0.405%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 05:45
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.64%E -4.92%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 08:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.18%E -2.27%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 07:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.95%E -4.37%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 06:54
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.02%E -6.03%K -24.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 06:24
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.71%E -6.60%K -27.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.01%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 06:30
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -2.49%E -1.77%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -9.32%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -3.87%E -2.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -9.93%E -3.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 05:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:49
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.80%E -1.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 04:50
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -8.02%E -6.03%K -24.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -12.09%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 06:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-10-16 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-10-16 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-16 07:55