Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic v Miami Heat

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.85%55.84%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7760.98%58.90%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.15%44.16%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.152.182.2049.02%46.62%45.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Orlando Magic (Local): 55.84%; Miami Heat (Visit): 44.16%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -1.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.17%E -0.661%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 07:04
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 01:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 02:34
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.37%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 04:45
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 05:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 01:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 07:10
picklebet_au🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.91%E -4.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-10-16 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-10-16 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-10-16 07:15