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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Orlando Magic v Miami Heat

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orlando Magic (主队)

预测 55.84%1.79公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
54.26%55.85%55.84%56.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.701.701.7760.98%58.90%58.82%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Heat (客队)

预测 44.16%2.26公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -1.29%
Kelly -2.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.59%44.15%44.16%45.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.152.182.2049.02%46.62%45.87%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Orlando Magic (主队)：55.84%；Miami Heat (客队)：44.16%。 对于“Orlando Magic (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.79。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.77，期望值为-1.17%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.17%E -0.661%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 07:04
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 01:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 02:34
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.37%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:29
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 04:45
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 05:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 01:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 07:10
picklebet_au🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.91%E -4.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 05:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-10-16 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-10-16 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-10-16 08:00