Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 23:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 11.70%8.55fair odd
EV +15.21%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 9.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.72%11.97%11.61%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.858.009.8515.38%12.74%12.50%10.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 88.30%1.13fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -18.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.03%88.39%90.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.19%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 11.70%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 88.30%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.55. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯9.85I 10.15%NM 9.72%EV +15.21%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.261%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.28%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.27%E +0.585%K +0.659%G +0.035%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.27%E +0.585%K +0.659%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.28%E -6.93%K -145.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +3.05%E +0.346%K +0.390%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.93%E +0.333%K +0.376%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 22:45
ReBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.93%E +0.333%K +0.376%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.112%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:40
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:40
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:34
BetMGM🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:44
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:40
BetAnything🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:10
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 21:35
Dabble (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:50
1xBet🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.61%EV -1.16%E -0.138%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.39%EV -1.98%E -1.79%K -18.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 22:34
Pinnacle🎯8.43I 11.86%NM 11.54%EV -1.40%E -0.166%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.46%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -1.75%E -0.208%K -0.236%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 19:24
FanDuel🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -2.92%E -0.352%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯8.28I 12.08%NM 11.54%EV -3.15%E -0.381%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.46%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:49
Bet Victor🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -3.50%E -0.425%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 23:03
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -3.50%E -0.425%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.28%E -6.93%K -145.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:04
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:04
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 19:29
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:54
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:39
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:50
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 19:59
GTbets🎯7.73I 12.94%NM 12.16%EV -9.59%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.84%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.11%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:55
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Bovada🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:54
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:59
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -15.20%E -2.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:04
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:44
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:24
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:25
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:25
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:24
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:10
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:40
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.97%E -3.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 23:04
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -23.97%E -3.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:10
Polymarket10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:10
Novig9.71I 10.30%NM 10.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.91%2.0%2026-04-01 23:10
BetOpenly9.96I 10.04%NM 9.78%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.22%2.6%2026-04-01 18:40
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%2.8%2026-04-01 23:10
ProphetX10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%3.3%2026-04-01 23:10
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%4.3%2026-04-01 23:10