La escuela de los momios

Washington Wizards v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-04-01 23:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Wizards (Local)

Predicción 11.70%8.55momio equitativo
EV +15.21%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.261%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.72%11.97%11.61%14.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.858.009.8515.38%12.74%12.50%10.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 88.30%1.13momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -18.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%88.03%88.39%90.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.19%92.59%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff9.85I 10.15%NM 9.72%EV +15.21%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.261%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.28%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:09
Betr (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.27%E +0.585%K +0.659%G +0.035%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:04
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.27%E +0.585%K +0.659%G +0.035%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.28%E -6.93%K -145.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:59
LowVig.ag8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +3.05%E +0.346%K +0.390%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet (FR)8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.93%E +0.333%K +0.376%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 22:45
ReBet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.93%E +0.333%K +0.376%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.112%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:40
DraftKings8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:40
Caesars8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:34
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:44
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:39
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:40
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:10
theScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 21:35
Dabble (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.580%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:50
1xBet8.45I 11.83%NM 11.61%EV -1.16%E -0.138%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.39%EV -1.98%E -1.79%K -18.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 22:34
Pinnacle8.43I 11.86%NM 11.54%EV -1.40%E -0.166%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.46%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 23:00
Codere (IT)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -1.75%E -0.208%K -0.236%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 19:24
FanDuel8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -2.92%E -0.352%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 22:55
MyBookie.ag8.28I 12.08%NM 11.54%EV -3.15%E -0.381%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.46%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:49
Bet Victor8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -3.50%E -0.425%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 23:03
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -3.50%E -0.425%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.28%E -6.93%K -145.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 22:50
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:04
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:04
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 19:29
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:54
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:39
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:50
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.43%E -0.803%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 19:59
GTbets7.73I 12.94%NM 12.16%EV -9.59%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.84%EV -5.52%E -5.15%K -78.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:10
Marathon Bet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.11%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:55
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:25
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:30
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:54
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.28%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 22:59
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -15.20%E -2.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:04
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:44
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:24
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:25
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:25
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:24
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:10
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:24
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:40
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:39
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.75%E -3.44%K -41.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:40
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:05
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.12%E -2.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:04
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.97%E -3.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.63%E -4.29%K -57.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 23:04
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -23.97%E -3.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:10
Polymarket10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-01 23:10
Novig9.71I 10.30%NM 10.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.91%2.0%2026-04-01 23:10
BetOpenly9.96I 10.04%NM 9.78%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.22%2.6%2026-04-01 18:40
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%2.8%2026-04-01 23:10
ProphetX10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%3.3%2026-04-01 23:10
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%4.3%2026-04-01 23:10