Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 9.50
assuming max odds 1.12
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 13.02%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 86.98%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.68. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.71%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +23.71%E +2.50%K +2.79%G +0.661% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -6.93%E -6.48%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +17.19%E +1.91%K +2.15%G +0.370% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +17.19%E +1.91%K +2.15%G +0.370% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +13.29%E +1.53%K +1.73%G +0.229% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -1.04%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV -1.43%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV -1.69%E -0.223%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.58%E -2.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 23:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -3.64%E -0.492%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -4.03%E -0.547%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -4.94%E -0.677%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.59%E -0.771%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.59%E -0.771%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -6.24%E -0.867%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.55%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.51%EV -8.33%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.49%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV -10.80%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.10%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.10%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -12.75%E -1.90%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 00:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -21.87%E -3.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.15% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 8.77I 11.40%NM 11.32% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.68% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89% | 2.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |