Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-03-03 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Predicción 13.02%7.68momio equitativo
EV +23.71%
Ventaja +2.50%
Kelly +2.79%
Crecimiento +0.661%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.12%13.01%12.82%15.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.297.159.5016.67%13.71%13.99%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 86.98%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -21.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.75%86.99%87.18%89.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.19%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Wizards (Local): 13.02%; Houston Rockets (Visitante): 86.98%. Para Washington Wizards (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.68. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +23.71%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +23.71%E +2.50%K +2.79%G +0.661%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -6.93%E -6.48%K -99.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +17.19%E +1.91%K +2.15%G +0.370%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 00:10
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +17.19%E +1.91%K +2.15%G +0.370%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Fliff🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +13.29%E +1.53%K +1.73%G +0.229%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.17%E +0.522%K +0.596%G +0.025%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:10
FanDuel🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -1.04%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV -1.43%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Pinnacle🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV -1.69%E -0.223%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 00:09
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.58%E -2.31%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 00:08
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 23:59
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:08
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.34%E -0.312%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-02 23:57
GTbets🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -3.64%E -0.492%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -4.03%E -0.547%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 00:10
BetUS🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -4.94%E -0.677%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:08
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.59%E -0.771%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:10
BetAnything🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.59%E -0.771%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -6.24%E -0.867%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.55%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯7.04I 14.20%NM 13.51%EV -8.33%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.49%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:59
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:10
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:00
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:59
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:01
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:59
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.85%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV -10.80%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.10%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 00:10
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.10%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -12.75%E -1.90%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 00:03
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.36%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.32%E -3.93%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -21.87%E -3.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-02 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 89.15%0.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%0.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%0.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Novig8.77I 11.40%NM 11.32%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.68%0.7%2026-03-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-03-03 00:10
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-03-03 00:10
ProphetX8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%1.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%2.3%2026-03-03 00:10