Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%30.37%29.98%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.153.133.5036.36%31.72%31.95%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 69.75%1.43fair odd
EV -0.256%
Edge -0.179%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%69.63%70.02%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.361.361.4376.34%73.27%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 30.25%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 69.75%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +5.87%E +1.68%K +2.35%G +0.138%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.63%E -6.58%K -27.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +2.85%E +0.837%K +1.19%G +0.034%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.33%E +0.398%K +0.568%G +0.008%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.33%E +0.398%K +0.568%G +0.008%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV +0.729%E +0.219%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:10
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.481%E -0.146%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.09%E -0.332%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
Dabble (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:58
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:59
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.83%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Bet Victor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.953%E -0.671%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -1.65%E -1.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 23:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 23:09
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.93%E -6.01%K -24.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -11.37%E -3.88%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -0.256%E -0.179%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -13.79%E -4.84%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -16.82%E -6.11%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOpenly3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%0.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Novig3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%1.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-04-09 23:10