La escuela de los momios

Washington Wizards v Chicago Bulls

Inicio: 2026-04-09 23:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Wizards (Local)

Predicción 30.25%3.31momio equitativo
EV +5.87%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.35%
Crecimiento +0.138%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.23%30.37%29.98%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.153.133.5036.36%31.72%31.95%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 69.75%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.256%
Ventaja -0.179%
Kelly -0.595%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%69.63%70.02%72.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.361.361.4376.34%73.27%73.53%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +5.87%E +1.68%K +2.35%G +0.138%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.63%E -6.58%K -27.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +2.85%E +0.837%K +1.19%G +0.034%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.33%E +0.398%K +0.568%G +0.008%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.33%E +0.398%K +0.568%G +0.008%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV +0.729%E +0.219%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:10
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:10
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.179%E -0.054%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.481%E -0.146%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 23:09
SportsBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.09%E -0.332%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:02
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.69%E -0.520%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.23%E -5.44%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:58
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:01
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:59
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.44%E -3.24%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.83%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -3.05%E -2.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Bet Victor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.953%E -0.671%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -1.65%E -1.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:09
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.74%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 23:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.14%E -3.78%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:09
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 23:09
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.93%E -6.01%K -24.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -11.37%E -3.88%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -0.256%E -0.179%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -6.53%E -4.88%K -19.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -13.79%E -4.84%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -16.82%E -6.11%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.32%K -16.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOpenly3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%0.5%2026-04-09 22:59
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Novig3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10%1.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%1.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-04-09 23:10