Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.95
assuming max odds 1.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 33.75%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 66.25%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.441%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.441%E -0.149%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.45%E -0.498%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -2.80%E -0.973%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:32 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -8.20%E -3.02%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 02:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 0.0% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.44% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.56% | 1.4% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-01 02:40 |