La escuela de los momios

Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-01 02:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.441%
Ventaja -0.149%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%33.80%33.72%35.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.812.822.9537.74%35.54%35.46%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 66.25%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.90%66.20%66.28%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.53%69.44%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.441%E -0.149%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 02:40
Caesars2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.45%E -0.498%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 02:39
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 02:39
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 02:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 02:40
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -2.80%E -0.973%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 02:40
Bet Victor2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 02:39
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 02:40
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:39
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:39
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:40
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 02:39
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 02:40
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 02:39
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 02:32
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 02:29
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 02:29
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 02:40
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 02:40
888sport2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:29
Mr Green (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:29
888sport (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:29
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 02:30
MyBookie.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 02:30
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 02:40
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 02:40
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:39
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:31
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 02:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 02:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 02:30
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 02:39
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 02:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 02:40
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 02:40
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -8.20%E -3.02%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 02:40
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 02:40
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 02:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 02:40
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 02:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 02:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%0.0%2026-03-01 02:29
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%0.1%2026-03-01 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-01 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-01 02:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-03-01 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-01 02:40
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-01 02:40
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-01 02:40
Novig3.04I 32.89%NM 32.44%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.56%1.4%2026-03-01 02:40
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-03-01 02:40