Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 1.43
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 30.61%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 69.39%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.00%E +0.304%K +0.437%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV +0.086%E +0.026%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.526%E -0.162%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.526%E -0.162%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -0.832%E -0.257%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.44%E -0.448%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 01:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -1.75%E -0.545%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 23:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -2.67%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.67%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -2.97%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 00:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -3.89%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.71%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -0.769%E -0.537%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -14.30%E -5.11%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81% | 0.2% | 2026-03-09 19:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 01:04 |
| Novig◎ | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.54% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.46% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 01:05 |