La escuela de los momios

Utah Jazz v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-03-10 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 30.61%3.27momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.87%30.46%33.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3035.71%32.03%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 69.39%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.769%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.97%69.13%69.54%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.371.4375.19%72.84%72.99%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.00%E +0.304%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 15:40
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV +0.086%E +0.026%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-10 00:24
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.526%E -0.162%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.526%E -0.162%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 00:59
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -0.832%E -0.257%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-10 01:00
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.44%E -0.448%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 01:01
SportsBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -1.75%E -0.545%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 01:05
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 01:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 01:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 01:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 00:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:45
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:04
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:05
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:25
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:24
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.06%E -0.643%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:05
LowVig.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -2.67%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 01:04
BetUS3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.67%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:34
MyBookie.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -2.97%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 00:58
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 00:49
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:44
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:20
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:05
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:25
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 00:59
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:00
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:00
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 00:49
ReBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -3.89%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:30
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 00:14
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 01:04
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:29
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 01:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 00:04
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 00:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:24
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:29
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 00:59
Bet Victor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 00:49
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 00:59
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 01:00
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.46%E -1.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 01:04
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:24
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.71%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -0.769%E -0.537%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 00:49
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 00:59
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 01:04
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -14.30%E -5.11%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81%0.2%2026-03-09 19:39
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-03-10 01:04
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-03-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-03-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-03-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-03-10 01:05
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-03-10 01:00
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-03-10 01:04
Novig3.34I 29.94%NM 29.54%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.46%1.4%2026-03-10 00:59
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-03-10 01:05