Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 00:12 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 103–106 Portland Trail Blazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 82.14%1.22fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.96%82.02%82.35%84.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.161.2290.09%86.11%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 17.86%5.60fair odd
EV +11.63%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.31%17.98%17.65%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.345.406.2521.98%18.72%18.52%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 82.14%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 17.86%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -7.18%E -6.36%K -55.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +11.63%E +1.86%K +2.22%G +0.258%4.5%2026-04-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%4.3%2026-04-22 00:05
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%4.3%2026-04-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +2.16%E +0.378%K +0.458%G +0.010%5.2%2026-04-21 23:58
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +1.81%E +0.317%K +0.384%G +0.007%4.5%2026-04-21 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%EV +0.913%E +0.162%K +0.196%G +0.002%2.4%2026-04-22 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV +0.378%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:05
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.020%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:05
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.020%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV -1.41%E -0.255%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.41%E -0.255%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 21:25
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 21:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:14
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:58
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -4.44%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.18%E -6.36%K -55.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:05
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:03
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -8.83%E -7.95%K -80.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:15
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:39
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:40
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 22:35
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.32%EV +0.210%E +0.172%K +0.954%G +0.002%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.68%EV -11.05%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -13.38%E -2.76%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -1.43%E -1.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -18.73%E -4.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-04-22 00:05
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02%0.6%2026-04-21 23:50
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-22 00:05
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-04-21 23:35
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-04-21 21:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-22 00:05