La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-04-22 00:12 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 103–106 Portland Trail Blazers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 82.14%1.22momio equitativo
EV +0.210%
Ventaja +0.172%
Kelly +0.954%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.96%82.02%82.35%84.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.161.2290.09%86.11%86.21%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 17.86%5.60momio equitativo
EV +11.63%
Ventaja +1.86%
Kelly +2.22%
Crecimiento +0.258%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.31%17.98%17.65%20.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.555.345.406.2521.98%18.72%18.52%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -7.18%E -6.36%K -55.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +11.63%E +1.86%K +2.22%G +0.258%4.5%2026-04-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:54
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%3.6%2026-04-21 23:55
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%4.3%2026-04-22 00:05
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.70%E +0.469%K +0.568%G +0.015%4.3%2026-04-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +2.16%E +0.378%K +0.458%G +0.010%5.2%2026-04-21 23:58
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +1.81%E +0.317%K +0.384%G +0.007%4.5%2026-04-21 21:25
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%EV +0.913%E +0.162%K +0.196%G +0.002%2.4%2026-04-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV +0.378%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:05
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.020%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:05
Caesars1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.020%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:54
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV -1.41%E -0.255%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -1.41%E -0.255%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 22:35
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 23:15
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 21:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 21:00
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:14
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.321%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:58
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:05
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:35
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -3.55%E -0.658%K -0.807%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 23:55
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -4.44%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:00
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 00:05
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.18%E -6.36%K -55.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 00:00
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:50
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:05
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:03
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -8.83%E -7.95%K -80.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 23:55
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:15
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:05
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:39
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:54
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:55
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:54
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 23:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 00:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 22:35
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 80.32%EV +0.210%E +0.172%K +0.954%G +0.002%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.68%EV -11.05%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 23:50
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.08%E -2.61%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -13.38%E -2.76%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -1.43%E -1.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -18.73%E -4.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-04-22 00:05
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02%0.6%2026-04-21 23:50
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-21 23:15
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-04-22 00:05
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-04-21 23:35
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-04-21 21:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-22 00:05