Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 00:40 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 108–123 Oklahoma City Thunder

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 56.21%1.78fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.28%56.27%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.16%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 43.79%2.28fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%43.72%43.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.192.202.3548.08%45.68%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 56.21%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 43.79%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +2.90%E +1.24%K +2.15%G +0.062%4.3%2026-05-23 00:28
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.714%E +0.311%K +0.549%G +0.004%2.0%2026-05-23 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV +0.276%E +0.121%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.2%2026-05-23 00:29
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.276%E +0.121%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-23 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.599%E -0.264%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:27
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:20
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 00:29
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 23:49
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 00:20
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:29
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:29
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 00:29
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 00:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 00:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:19
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 23:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -10.06%E -6.29%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 00:30
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 00:20
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 00:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 00:30
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-23 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 00:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-05-23 00:20
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%8.6%2026-05-23 00:29