La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-05-23 00:40 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 108–123 Oklahoma City Thunder

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 56.21%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.28%56.27%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.16%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV +2.90%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%43.72%43.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.192.202.3548.08%45.68%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +2.90%E +1.24%K +2.15%G +0.062%4.3%2026-05-23 00:28
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.714%E +0.311%K +0.549%G +0.004%2.0%2026-05-23 00:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV +0.276%E +0.121%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.2%2026-05-23 00:29
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.276%E +0.121%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-23 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.599%E -0.264%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:29
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:27
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:29
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:20
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 00:30
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 00:29
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 23:49
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 00:20
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 00:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:00
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 00:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:30
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:29
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:29
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 00:29
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 00:20
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 00:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 00:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 00:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 00:18
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 00:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 00:19
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 00:20
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 00:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 23:49
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 00:19
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -10.06%E -6.29%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 00:30
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 00:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:39
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 00:20
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 00:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 00:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 00:30
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-23 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-23 00:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 00:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 00:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-05-23 00:20
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%8.6%2026-05-23 00:29