Language:English
San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Antonio Spurs (Local)
Prediction 77.68%1.29fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.44%77.75%77.55%79.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2784.75%81.37%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV +4.88%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%22.25%22.45%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.244.204.7025.64%23.58%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 77.68%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 22.32%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.88%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.064% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -6.00%E -4.96%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +3.77%E +0.810%K +1.03%G +0.039% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.65%E +0.577%K +0.737%G +0.020% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.65%E +0.577%K +0.737%G +0.020% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -0.026%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -0.695%E -0.156%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -1.14%E -0.258%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -1.36%E -0.309%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -2.12%E -1.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV -1.81%E -0.412%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.81%E -0.412%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 20:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -7.39%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -8.06%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.00%E -4.96%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.12%E -1.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.33%E -7.06%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.85%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.85%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.34%E -1.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |