La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-05-13 00:15 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 126–97 Minnesota Timberwolves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 77.68%1.29momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -4.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.44%77.75%77.55%79.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.231.2784.75%81.37%81.30%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 22.32%4.48momio equitativo
EV +4.88%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.61%22.25%22.45%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.244.204.7025.64%23.58%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.88%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.064%3.2%2026-05-12 23:50
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -6.00%E -4.96%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +3.77%E +0.810%K +1.03%G +0.039%4.2%2026-05-13 00:10
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.65%E +0.577%K +0.737%G +0.020%3.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.65%E +0.577%K +0.737%G +0.020%3.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.6%2026-05-13 00:05
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -0.026%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 00:00
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -0.695%E -0.156%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 23:59
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -1.14%E -0.258%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV -1.36%E -0.309%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 00:00
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -2.12%E -1.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV -1.81%E -0.412%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.81%E -0.412%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 00:00
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.93%E -0.673%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 00:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.37%E -0.779%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 20:14
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 23:35
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 00:05
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.04%E -0.940%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 23:45
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 00:00
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 00:10
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 00:10
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 00:00
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 23:20
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 00:05
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:20
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -7.39%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -8.06%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 23:25
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:45
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:20
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 00:00
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.00%E -4.96%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 00:00
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.12%E -1.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 22:10
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 22:10
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.33%E -7.06%K -46.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:00
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.85%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:55
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.89%E -2.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.85%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:55
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.34%E -1.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45%0.2%2026-05-13 00:00
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-05-12 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-13 00:05
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-12 23:30
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-12 23:35
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-13 00:05
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-13 00:10