Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.98
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 66.54%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 33.46%. For Houston Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.98, with an expected value of -0.286%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.30%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 23:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 00:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 00:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.286%E -0.096%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.286%E -0.096%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.33%E -4.27%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.51%E -5.40%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -5.64%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.89% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 33.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |