Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-03-09 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 66.54%1.50momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.32%66.54%66.43%67.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.441.441.4771.94%69.54%69.44%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 33.46%2.99momio equitativo
EV -0.286%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.145%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.27%33.46%33.57%34.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.832.832.9837.74%35.31%35.27%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 66.54%; Houston Rockets (Visitante): 33.46%. Para Houston Rockets (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.98, con un valor esperado de -0.286%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.19%E -1.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 00:09
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.85%E -1.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.30%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:58
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:10
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:07
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:10
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.52%E -2.43%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:08
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:10
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:09
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:09
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:09
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.18%E -2.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:10
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.29%E -0.437%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:10
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:09
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.286%E -0.096%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.286%E -0.096%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.96%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.85%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.33%E -4.27%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.51%E -5.40%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -5.64%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-03-08 23:59
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.89%3.01I 33.22%NM 33.11%0.3%2026-03-09 00:09
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-09 00:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-09 00:10