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San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Antonio Spurs (Local)
Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd
EV +0.521%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.686%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%56.96%57.40%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.651.7663.69%60.09%60.61%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV +0.781%
Edge +0.333%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.04%42.60%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.232.252.3551.02%44.74%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 57.11%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 42.89%. For Denver Nuggets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.781%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.781%E +0.333%K +0.579%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.781%E +0.333%K +0.579%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.505%E -0.218%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.505%E -0.218%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.934%E -0.404%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.65%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.94%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.33%E -6.58%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV +0.521%E +0.296%K +0.686%G +0.004% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -0.050%E -0.029%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.050%E -0.029%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.22%E -3.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV +0.521%E +0.296%K +0.686%G +0.004% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.621%E -0.357%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 01:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 01:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |