La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-13 01:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 57.11%1.75momio equitativo
EV +0.521%
Ventaja +0.296%
Kelly +0.686%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%56.96%57.40%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.651.7663.69%60.09%60.61%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.781%
Ventaja +0.333%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%43.04%42.60%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.232.252.3551.02%44.74%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.781%E +0.333%K +0.579%G +0.005%3.9%2026-03-13 01:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.781%E +0.333%K +0.579%G +0.005%4.7%2026-03-13 00:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.505%E -0.218%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:10
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.505%E -0.218%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:09
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.934%E -0.404%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-13 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 01:09
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 01:08
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 01:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:09
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:09
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 01:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:10
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:10
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 01:08
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.62%E -5.39%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.36%E -0.593%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 01:09
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.22%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:09
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.65%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 01:10
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 01:09
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 01:09
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 01:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 01:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:09
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:08
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 01:10
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.94%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:09
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 00:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:10
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.33%E -6.58%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 01:04
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV +0.521%E +0.296%K +0.686%G +0.004%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 01:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -0.050%E -0.029%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 01:08
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.050%E -0.029%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.22%E -3.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 00:59
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV +0.521%E +0.296%K +0.686%G +0.004%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:08
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.621%E -0.357%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 01:01
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 00:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:09
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 01:08
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-13 01:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-13 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-13 01:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-13 01:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-13 01:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-13 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-03-13 01:10
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-13 01:09
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-03-13 01:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%2.5%2026-03-13 01:10
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%7.0%2026-03-13 00:59