Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 00:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 58.73%1.70fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.227%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.73%58.62%58.76%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.7063.69%61.28%61.16%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 41.27%2.42fair odd
EV -0.540%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.38%41.24%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4146.51%43.50%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 58.73%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 41.27%. For San Antonio Spurs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.703. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.700, with an expected value of -0.159%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.159%E -0.093%K -0.227%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.33%E -0.794%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-11 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:09
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.78%E -0.747%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.97%E -3.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:08
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.84%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.78%E -0.747%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:07
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -0.540%E -0.224%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.952%E -0.397%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -10.44%E -4.81%K -8.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 00:03
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-10 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-11 00:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10