La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-03-11 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 58.73%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.159%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.227%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.73%58.62%58.76%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.7063.69%61.28%61.16%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 41.27%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.540%
Ventaja -0.224%
Kelly -0.383%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.38%41.24%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.4146.51%43.50%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.159%E -0.093%K -0.227%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.33%E -0.794%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:09
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.92%E -1.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-11 00:09
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.10%E -1.88%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:10
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.78%E -0.747%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.97%E -3.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.68%E -2.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:08
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.84%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:59
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.27%E -2.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.78%E -0.747%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:10
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:07
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:10
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:01
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.21%E -4.18%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:10
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -0.540%E -0.224%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:59
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.952%E -0.397%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.90%E -2.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:08
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.14%E -3.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -10.44%E -4.81%K -8.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 00:03
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.19%E -0.924%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-10 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 00:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-11 00:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-11 00:10