Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 04:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 24.51%4.08fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +0.981%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%24.50%24.56%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.904.2527.78%25.62%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 75.49%1.32fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.50%75.44%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.271.3182.64%79.23%79.05%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 24.51%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 75.49%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +4.17%E +0.981%K +1.28%G +0.053%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 03:55
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
SportsBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -0.733%E -0.181%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 01:30
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 03:55
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 04:05
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -2.45%E -0.615%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 23:45
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -2.62%E -2.03%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 04:00
FanDuel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 04:05
Everygame🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 04:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.66%E -7.16%K -41.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 04:00
BetUS🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 03:55
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 25.05%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%EV -1.11%E -0.846%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-04 03:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:53
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:10
GTbets🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:29
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 02:20
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 03:15
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:05
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.90%E -6.48%K -35.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:40
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:49
Caesars🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 04:05
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:53
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:05
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:10
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 03:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 21:25
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:20
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:10
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 04:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 04:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 04:05
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -9.80%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -8.66%E -7.16%K -41.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 04:04
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.62%E -2.03%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%0.1%2026-03-04 03:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-04 04:10
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-03-04 02:30
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 22.90%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.10%1.3%2026-03-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-03-04 04:10
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-03-04 04:10