La escuela de los momios

Sacramento Kings v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-03-04 04:14 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Predicción 24.51%4.08momio equitativo
EV +4.17%
Ventaja +0.981%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.59%24.50%24.56%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.904.2527.78%25.62%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 75.49%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%75.50%75.44%77.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.261.271.3182.64%79.23%79.05%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +4.17%E +0.981%K +1.28%G +0.053%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 03:55
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 03:49
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.493%E +0.120%K +0.159%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -0.733%E -0.181%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 01:30
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 03:55
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 04:05
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -2.45%E -0.615%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:35
LowVig.ag3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 23:45
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -2.62%E -2.03%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 04:00
FanDuel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 04:05
Everygame3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 04:00
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.66%E -7.16%K -41.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 04:00
BetUS3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 03:55
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 25.05%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%EV -1.11%E -0.846%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-04 03:20
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:45
MyBookie.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.92%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:53
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:10
GTbets3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:29
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 02:20
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 03:15
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:05
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.88%E -3.88%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:05
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.90%E -6.48%K -35.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:40
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:49
Caesars3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 04:05
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:53
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:05
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:10
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:10
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 03:04
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 21:25
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:20
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:10
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.13%E -3.25%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 04:05
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 04:00
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.39%E -5.16%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 04:05
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 14:55
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.37%E -2.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 14:55
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 03:55
Betclic (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -9.80%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -8.66%E -7.16%K -41.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 04:04
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.62%E -2.03%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%0.1%2026-03-04 03:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-04 04:10
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-03-04 02:30
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 22.90%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.10%1.3%2026-03-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 04:10
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-03-04 04:10
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-03-04 04:10