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Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sacramento Kings (Local)
Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%31.00%31.03%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.103.3536.36%32.30%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)
Prediction 69.07%1.45fair odd
EV -0.539%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%69.00%68.97%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.361.4478.13%73.12%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 30.93%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 69.07%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.61%E +1.08%K +1.54%G +0.056% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.14%E -6.12%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.61%E +1.08%K +1.54%G +0.056% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.14%E -6.12%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +2.07%E +0.627%K +0.899%G +0.019% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.07%E +0.627%K +0.899%G +0.019% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +1.76%E +0.535%K +0.768%G +0.014% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.522%E +0.161%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:07 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.64%E -0.517%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -1.64%E -0.517%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.50%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -3.81%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.05%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 03:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -6.59%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -1.23%E -0.860%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -11.23%E -3.91%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.23%E -0.860%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.92%E -1.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.40%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.40%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.63%EV -11.59%E -9.05%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.539%E -0.374%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.37% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |