La escuela de los momios

Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-06 03:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%31.00%31.03%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.103.3536.36%32.30%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 69.07%1.45momio equitativo
EV -0.539%
Ventaja -0.374%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%69.00%68.97%71.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.371.361.4478.13%73.12%73.53%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.61%E +1.08%K +1.54%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.14%E -6.12%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.61%E +1.08%K +1.54%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.14%E -6.12%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +2.07%E +0.627%K +0.899%G +0.019%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:10
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.07%E +0.627%K +0.899%G +0.019%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 03:10
SportsBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +1.76%E +0.535%K +0.768%G +0.014%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.522%E +0.161%K +0.232%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:07
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 03:10
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 03:10
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 03:10
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.02%E -0.320%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:10
LowVig.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.64%E -0.517%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 03:10
BetUS3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -1.64%E -0.517%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:09
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:09
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:09
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:09
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.57%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.50%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:59
MyBookie.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -3.81%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 02:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:09
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:09
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:09
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:09
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 03:10
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.05%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 03:08
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:09
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:00
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -6.59%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -1.23%E -0.860%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:09
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 03:09
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:10
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:10
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 03:00
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -11.23%E -3.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.76%E -5.00%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.23%E -0.860%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.92%E -1.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 03:10
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.40%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.40%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.63%EV -11.59%E -9.05%K -41.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-06 03:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.539%E -0.374%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.39I 29.50%NM 29.37%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%0.4%2026-03-06 02:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-03-06 03:10
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%3.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%4.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%6.3%2026-03-06 03:10