Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 02:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV +0.767%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.357%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%32.03%31.98%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.55%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 68.01%1.47fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%67.97%68.02%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4874.63%71.29%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 31.99%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 68.01%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.767%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -13.63%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +0.655%E +0.443%K +1.37%G +0.009%4.6%2026-04-04 02:08
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.03%E -4.37%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.07%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -2.75%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -2.75%E -1.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Bet Victor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 01:59
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 01:59
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 02:09
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 02:09
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:09
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:06
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Coolbet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.39%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:01
MyBookie.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:01
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
SportsBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.79%E -0.584%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.79%E -0.584%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -2.75%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 01:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:10
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 02:10
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 02:09
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.47%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.15%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Caesars🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.767%E +0.244%K +0.357%G +0.003%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.41%EV -12.67%E -4.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.59%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 02:06
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.767%E +0.244%K +0.357%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 02:09
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.87%E -6.62%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-04-04 02:10
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-04-04 02:09
BetOpenly3.06I 32.68%NM 32.30%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.70%1.2%2026-04-04 01:59
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%2.0%2026-04-04 02:10
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-04-04 02:10