La escuela de los momios

Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-04-04 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Predicción 31.99%3.13momio equitativo
EV +0.767%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.357%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.16%32.03%31.98%35.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.55%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 68.01%1.47momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.443%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.59%67.97%68.02%69.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4874.63%71.29%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -13.63%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +0.655%E +0.443%K +1.37%G +0.009%4.6%2026-04-04 02:08
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.03%E -4.37%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.07%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -2.75%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -2.75%E -1.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Bet Victor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 01:59
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 01:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 02:09
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 02:09
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.43%E -2.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:09
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:06
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Coolbet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.39%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:09
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 02:10
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:01
MyBookie.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.11%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:01
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 02:09
SportsBet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.79%E -0.584%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.79%E -0.584%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 02:09
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 02:10
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -2.75%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 01:58
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:10
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:09
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 02:10
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 02:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 02:09
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 02:09
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.79%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 02:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.47%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 02:09
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.832%E -0.268%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.15%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Caesars3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.767%E +0.244%K +0.357%G +0.003%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 02:10
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 02:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 33.41%EV -12.67%E -4.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.59%EV -6.83%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 02:06
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.767%E +0.244%K +0.357%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 02:09
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.51%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 02:09
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.87%E -6.62%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-04-04 02:10
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-04-04 02:09
BetOpenly3.06I 32.68%NM 32.30%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.70%1.2%2026-04-04 01:59
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%2.0%2026-04-04 02:10
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-04-04 02:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-04-04 02:10