The School of Odds
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Portland Trail Blazers v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 03:12 UTC

Final: Portland Trail Blazers 103–125 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.36%34.32%36.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.762.753.0042.55%36.19%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 65.66%1.52fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.51%65.64%65.68%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.451.4874.07%69.28%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 34.34%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 65.66%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.01%E +1.00%K +1.50%G +0.045%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 03:00
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.771%E -0.267%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 02:55
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 03:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 02:55
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-08 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 02:54
Bet Victor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 02:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-07 23:50
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 02:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-08 03:10
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-07 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 02:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:10
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 03:04
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 23:50
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 23:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 23:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 03:10
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 02:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:21
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 03:10
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 03:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-07 21:05
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.55%E -1.64%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 01:04
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-07 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 23:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 03:04
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:30
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 03:00
betfred_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 02:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.64%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 02:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 02:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.70%E -7.86%K -29.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.73%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.45%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.45%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 03:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -19.31%E -8.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -11.35%E -8.41%K -32.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-08 03:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-11-08 03:10
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-11-08 03:10
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-11-08 02:40
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-11-08 02:55
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-11-08 03:05
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-11-08 03:10
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.8%2026-11-08 02:55

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