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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Portland Trail Blazers v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-11-08 03:12 UTC

Final: Portland Trail Blazers 103–125 San Antonio Spurs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV +3.01%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.36%34.32%36.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.762.753.0042.55%36.19%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 65.66%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -5.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.51%65.64%65.68%68.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.441.451.4874.07%69.28%68.97%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 34.34%; San Antonio Spurs (Visitante): 65.66%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.91. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.01%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.01%E +1.00%K +1.50%G +0.045%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 03:00
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.771%E -0.267%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 02:55
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 03:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.11%E -0.387%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 02:55
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-08 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 02:54
Bet Victor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 02:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-07 23:50
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 02:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.14%E -0.752%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-08 03:10
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-07 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 02:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:10
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 03:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 03:04
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 23:50
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 23:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 23:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 03:10
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 02:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:21
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 03:10
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 03:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-07 21:05
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.55%E -1.64%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 01:04
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-07 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 23:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 02:45
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 03:04
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 02:30
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:30
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 03:00
betfred_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 02:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.64%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 02:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 02:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.70%E -7.86%K -29.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.73%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.45%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.45%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 03:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -19.31%E -8.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -11.35%E -8.41%K -32.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-08 03:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-11-08 03:10
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-11-08 03:10
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-11-08 02:40
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-11-08 03:10
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-11-08 02:55
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-11-08 03:05
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-11-08 03:10
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.8%2026-11-08 02:55

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