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Portland Trail Blazers v New Orleans Pelicans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Trail Blazers (Local)
Prediction 67.03%1.49fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%66.88%67.20%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.05%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)
Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%33.12%32.80%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.893.1039.22%34.86%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 67.03%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 32.97%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.22%E +0.715%K +1.06%G +0.023% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.83%E -4.92%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +1.56%E +0.506%K +0.749%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV +0.899%E +0.294%K +0.436%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.090%E -0.030%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -5.97%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -1.74%E -0.584%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.74%E -0.584%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.40%E -0.810%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.40%E -0.810%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.05%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.03%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.50%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.03%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.801%E -0.541%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.801%E -0.541%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.14%E -1.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.62%E -4.76%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -13.28%E -5.05%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -15.92%E -6.24%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.77% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.23% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |