La escuela de los momios

Portland Trail Blazers v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-04-03 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 67.03%1.49momio equitativo
EV -0.801%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.23%66.88%67.20%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.05%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 32.97%3.03momio equitativo
EV +2.22%
Ventaja +0.715%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%33.12%32.80%35.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.872.893.1039.22%34.86%34.60%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.22%E +0.715%K +1.06%G +0.023%5.8%2026-04-03 02:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.83%E -4.92%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +1.56%E +0.506%K +0.749%G +0.012%4.4%2026-04-03 02:00
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV +0.899%E +0.294%K +0.436%G +0.004%3.6%2026-04-03 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.090%E -0.030%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:09
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:09
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:09
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:09
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -5.97%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.08%E -0.360%K -0.540%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -1.74%E -0.584%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 02:09
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.74%E -0.584%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 02:09
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.40%E -0.810%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:09
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.40%E -0.810%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 01:59
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:59
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.05%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:03
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:01
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 02:09
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 02:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 02:09
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.03%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.50%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.03%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.801%E -0.541%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:09
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.801%E -0.541%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.14%E -1.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:09
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 02:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 02:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 02:10
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.62%E -4.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 02:10
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -13.28%E -5.05%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -15.92%E -6.24%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.77%3.07I 32.57%NM 32.23%1.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-03 02:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-04-03 02:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-04-03 02:10
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%3.2%2026-04-03 01:59