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Portland Trail Blazers v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Trail Blazers (Local)
Prediction 79.79%1.25fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -12.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.90%79.70%79.83%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.41%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 20.21%4.95fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.263%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.30%20.17%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.675.0023.81%21.49%21.44%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 79.79%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 20.21%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.05%E +0.210%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.05%E +0.210%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.98%E -0.408%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.39%E -0.494%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -5.42%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -9.04%E -7.93%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-28 01:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 02:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.12%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-28 02:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-28 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71% | 0.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.19% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.81% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |