Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Trail Blazers v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-28 02:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 79.79%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -12.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.90%79.70%79.83%81.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.41%83.33%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 20.21%4.95momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.210%
Kelly +0.263%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%20.30%20.17%22.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.654.675.0023.81%21.49%21.44%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 79.79%; Dallas Mavericks (Visitante): 20.21%. Para Dallas Mavericks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.95. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.05%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.05%E +0.210%K +0.263%G +0.003%4.7%2026-03-28 02:10
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.05%E +0.210%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.5%2026-03-28 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.971%E -0.198%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.98%E -0.408%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.39%E -0.494%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 02:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:09
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.65%E -5.68%K -39.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.99%E -0.623%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:09
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:10
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -5.42%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:01
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:59
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Everygame🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:09
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:59
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 02:10
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -9.04%E -7.93%K -64.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 01:58
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.45%E -2.85%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:03
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.05%E -4.24%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.25%E -3.54%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 02:08
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -8.24%E -7.17%K -54.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.12%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-28 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.1%2026-03-28 01:59
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71%0.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-28 02:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.19%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.81%1.4%2026-03-28 02:10
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-03-28 02:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-03-28 02:10