The School of Odds
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Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 02:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 34.43%2.90fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.804%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%34.53%34.43%36.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.802.9540.00%35.96%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 65.57%1.53fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.29%65.47%65.57%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.94%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 34.43%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 65.57%. For Phoenix Suns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.57%E +0.531%K +0.804%G +0.013%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 02:10
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.534%E +0.183%K +0.278%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.190%E +0.065%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.498%E -0.172%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.22%E -0.782%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Coolbet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.91%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 02:08
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.91%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 01:59
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 02:10
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 02:09
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:08
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:09
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 02:02
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 01:59
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:09
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:10
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:08
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:10
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 01:59
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.35%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:02
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:07
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:09
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:08
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:01
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 02:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-02-27 02:10
ProphetX◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-27 02:10
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-27 02:10
BetOpenly◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-02-27 01:59
Novig◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-02-27 02:10
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-02-27 02:10