La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-02-27 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 34.43%2.90momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.804%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.34%34.53%34.43%36.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.802.9540.00%35.96%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 65.57%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.29%65.47%65.57%67.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.94%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.57%E +0.531%K +0.804%G +0.013%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 02:10
Caesars2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.534%E +0.183%K +0.278%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.190%E +0.065%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 02:09
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.498%E -0.172%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.843%E -0.293%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:10
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:09
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.88%E -0.658%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.22%E -0.782%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Coolbet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.91%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 02:08
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.91%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 01:59
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 02:10
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 02:09
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:09
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:10
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:08
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:09
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 02:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 02:02
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 01:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:09
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 02:08
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:04
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:09
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:59
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 01:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 02:09
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 02:10
MyBookie.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.35%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.27%E -2.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:02
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:07
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:10
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:09
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:08
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:09
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:01
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:10
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 02:09
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.61%E -2.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 02:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-02-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-02-27 02:10
ProphetX2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-02-27 02:09
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-27 02:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-27 02:10
BetOpenly2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-02-27 01:59
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-02-27 02:10
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-02-27 02:10