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Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Suns (Local)
Prediction 83.56%1.20fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -13.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.52%83.45%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.65%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 16.44%6.08fair odd
EV +15.11%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.381%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%16.48%16.55%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.795.767.0020.41%17.27%17.36%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 83.56%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 16.44%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.08. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +15.11%E +2.16%K +2.52%G +0.381% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +6.89%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.086% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +6.72%E +1.04%K +1.22%G +0.082% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +5.24%E +0.819%K +0.971%G +0.051% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +1.96%E +0.315%K +0.376%G +0.007% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +1.96%E +0.315%K +0.376%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +1.13%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.09%E -7.35%K -80.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 02:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.98%E -0.505%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV -3.47%E -0.591%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.28%E -0.917%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -6.27%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.27%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.31%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.69%EV -6.43%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 02:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -7.91%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 02:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.91%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 02:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -8.09%E -7.35%K -80.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -12.84%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -14.49%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.42%E -3.96%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 02:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 02:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 02:10 |