La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-04-09 02:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 83.56%1.20momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -13.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%83.52%83.45%86.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.65%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 16.44%6.08momio equitativo
EV +15.11%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.381%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.69%16.48%16.55%18.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.795.767.0020.41%17.27%17.36%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +15.11%E +2.16%K +2.52%G +0.381%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +6.89%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.086%5.5%2026-04-09 02:09
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +6.72%E +1.04%K +1.22%G +0.082%3.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +5.24%E +0.819%K +0.971%G +0.051%4.1%2026-04-09 02:09
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +1.96%E +0.315%K +0.376%G +0.007%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.94%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +1.96%E +0.315%K +0.376%G +0.007%6.2%2026-04-09 02:09
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +1.13%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.0%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 01:59
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 02:09
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 01:59
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 02:09
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 02:09
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:02
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 02:09
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 02:09
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.09%E -7.35%K -80.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.33%E -0.222%K -0.267%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 02:01
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.98%E -0.505%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 01:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV -3.47%E -0.591%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 02:09
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 01:59
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.62%E -0.797%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.28%E -0.917%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:10
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.44%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -6.27%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.27%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.31%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.69%EV -6.43%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:01
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -7.91%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 02:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.91%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.08%E -2.65%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:04
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:09
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.75%E -4.16%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 02:09
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 02:00
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.42%E -5.73%K -53.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.56%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 02:09
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -8.09%E -7.35%K -80.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -12.84%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.91%E -3.40%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -14.49%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 02:09
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 01:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 02:09
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 01:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.24%E -1.91%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.78%E -3.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 01:59
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -5.58%E -4.94%K -42.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.42%E -3.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 02:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-09 02:09
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-09 02:10
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-09 01:59
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-04-09 02:09
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-04-09 02:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-09 02:10
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-04-09 02:10