Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 11.15%8.97fair odd
EV +12.05%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.160%

assuming max odds 10.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.50%11.26%11.20%13.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.388.5010.0514.81%11.93%11.76%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 88.85%1.13fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -22.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.42%88.74%88.80%90.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.95%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 11.15%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 88.85%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.97. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯10.05I 9.95%NM 9.54%EV +12.05%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.46%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.49%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.147%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.71%E -6.39%K -134.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:05
1xBet🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%EV +7.03%E +0.732%K +0.817%G +0.057%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-23 19:15
Pinnacle🎯9.48I 10.55%NM 10.23%EV +5.69%E +0.600%K +0.671%G +0.038%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.77%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Bet Victor🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.13%E +0.338%K +0.379%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +1.46%E +0.160%K +0.180%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:05
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 17:44
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 22:14
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.340%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.71%E -6.39%K -134.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV -1.78%E -0.202%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 14:44
SportsBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Coolbet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:49
BetMGM🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.45%E -0.280%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:59
ReBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.12%E -0.479%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:05
GTbets🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -4.68%E -0.547%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -4.79%E -0.561%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 14:44
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 20:39
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:49
BetAnything🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:35
Bovada🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:49
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -5.23%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.59%E -7.30%K -189.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Neds🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:49
Everygame🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.02%E -0.972%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯8.21I 12.18%NM 11.63%EV -8.47%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.37%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:58
Codere (IT)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -8.58%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:05
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:45
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:10
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.04%E -3.74%K -50.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:05
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:54
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.81%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.93%E -4.61%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -14.15%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.90%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 22:54
Betsson🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
NordicBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.15%E -2.89%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:04
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.38%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:54
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -19.17%E -2.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.26%E -2.06%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 20:10
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -21.96%E -3.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.26%E -2.06%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -24.74%E -3.67%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -5.82%E -5.49%K -96.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig12.05I 8.30%NM 8.30%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.70%0.0%2026-03-23 23:03
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%0.1%2026-03-23 22:55
BetOpenly11.88I 8.42%NM 8.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.60%0.2%2026-03-23 22:59
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-03-23 20:55
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-03-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:54
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-23 22:55
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%2.5%2026-03-23 23:00